Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Pyrrhus Would Be Proud Of Clinton's Win Last Night

The term 'pyrrhic victory' comes from the life and times of Pyrrhus of Epirus, who was able to win battles but at a costly price. He was a known as a great general (like the Clinton family when it comes to commanding campaigns) but ultimately became the butt of a historic joke that was coined when he beat his adversaries but lost much of his army at the same time. The battles he lost were eventually overcome by his up and coming opponent, the Roman Republic. Although I will my best not to try to compare Obama with the Romans, they were certainly a force of change in the region at the time, much as Obama is.

So how exactly was her win pyrrhic? Well, she won three states last night in their respective primaries (though the Texas caucus is still undecided this morning). Her camp is calling it a great victory and that she sought out to do what she wanted to. Well I hate to rain on her parade, but 380 out of the last 1000 delegates were decided last night, and she ate into Barack's 130 pledged delegate lead by maybe one or two, perhaps three or four if she's really lucky.

Now if I was a statistician for Senator Clinton and I was down 130 delegates with 38% decided in one night, I'd want to at least gain at least 50 delegates or more to start plugging the gap. We all know the final totals from last night won't yield ten percent of that number. So Senator Clinton can talk all she wants about her big victory last night, but really, in the scheme of things, it was a wash. This primary is about all fifty states, as well as Guam, Puerto Rico, American Samoa and the Democrats Abroad, not slim margins of victory in Texas and Ohio.