Nothing Goes According To Plan

Mr. Giuliani may have big Presidential plans, but if voters have anything to say about it, he could be stuck with us here in New York (the nation can thank us later for tolerating him). His plan all along or for at least the last couple months was to discard Iowa and New Hampshire and focus on the other early states instead. Well, that strategy may not work out as imagined, especially with a campaign that has been bludgeoned by the Sex on the City scandal.

From The Huffington Post:

On Friday, Rasmussen Reports released a poll (yes, it comes with caveats regarding methodology) showing Giuliani at 19 percent support in Florida, a state once thought of as a lock for Hizzoner. The figure represents an eight percentage point drop from November and puts the former New York City mayor well behind the GOP flavor of the month, Mike Huckabee, who registers at 27 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, splits the two at 23 percent support.

Florida's primary, it should be noted, will offer 114 delegates (half the normal size), because state officials moved the date up to January 29th and were punished by the national party for doing so.

The survey offers several suggestions as to why Giuliani's support has so rapidly and then suddenly dropped. But this might be the most telling: "Romney now earns the highest favorable ratings among Florida's Likely Primary Voters at 74%. That's up five points since November and up eleven since September.Giuliani is viewed favorably by 69%, down from 79% a month ago. Huckabee is viewed favorably by 68%, up from 56% a month ago."

Like I said, nothing goes according to plan. Of course, there are still three weeks until this whole mess starts, so anything could possibly happen. What is for sure though, is that no one's nomination is inevitable, whether you are on the left...or right side of the ballot.